Negative Binomial

If the cell value is less than or equal to 0:

Probability is 0.2

Shape is 10

If the cell value is greater than 0 and less than 1:

Probability is cell value

Shape is 10

Otherwise, unless the cell value is greater than 100:

Probability is 0.2

Shape is cell value

If the cell value is greater than 100, the shape is 10.