Forecast Considerations

You should not rely exclusively on past data to forecast future demands. These circumstances might affect the business, and require you to review and modify the forecast:

  • New products that have no past data.

  • Plans for future sales promotion.

  • Changes in national and international politics.

  • New laws and government regulations.

  • Weather changes and natural disasters.

  • Innovations from competition.

  • Economic changes.

You can use long term trend analysis to influence the design of the forecasts:

  • Market surveys.

  • Leading economic indicators.