Create and Edit a Storm Model

As a storm approaches in your service territory, you can create a new storm model that estimates when the storm will start and exit the area, how many customers will lose power, and which zones the storm will impact. You can also edit the storm model's details. After you create a storm model, you can add one or more Estimated Restoration Timelines (ERTs) to it.

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Create a Storm Model

  1. Log in to Oracle Utilities Analytics Insights.

  2. Click Explore > Storm > ERT. The Storm ERT dashboard displays.

  3. Click New Storm Model.

  4. In the Create/Edit Storm Model dialog that displays, enter a value in each field. All of this information can be edited later.

    • Model Name: Create a distinct name for the storm model. For example, you could add a name that contains a month and year, such as "Sally December 2022".

    • Estimated Number of Customers: Indicate the estimated number of customers who may lose power. Base this number on similar storms that have occurred in the past. For example, if the upcoming storm has severity and size characteristics similar to a storm in the past, then you can use your knowledge of that storm to enter your estimate.

    • Estimated Number of Outages: Indicate the estimated number of outages that may occur. Base this number on similar storms that have occurred in the past. For example, if the upcoming storm has severity and size characteristics similar to a storm in the past, then you can use your knowledge of that storm to enter your estimate.

      Note: The estimated number of outages should be different (usually lower) than the estimated number of customers who lose power. Multiple customers can live in a household or location that experiences an outage.

    • Start of Storm Date/Time: Indicate the date and time when the storm will enter your service area.

    • Storm Cut-off Date/Time: Indicate the date and time after which new outages will be excluded from the storm model. This is usually the date and time when the storm leaves your service area. However, you may want to set the cut-off date and time to be later than when the storm left. For example, if a storm leaves the area at 2 a.m., you may want to set the storm cut-off date and time to be later in the morning (such as 11 a.m.) on the same day. This way, any outages reported by customers when they wake up in the morning will be included in the storm model.

    • Exclude Single Customer: Select this option if you want to ignore any outages that only affected a single customer rather than multiple customers simultaneously. It is recommended that you select this option in cases where you want to exclude outliers that might skew the results of the storm model forecast.

    • Affected Zone(s): Select one or more zones in your service area that will be affected by the storm, based on the forecasted path of the storm. You may be able to select sub zones within a larger zone if your utility is made up of multiple operating companies.

    • Season: Select the season in which the storm will occur. If the duration of the storm will span multiple days at the end of one season and the beginning of another, you can select more than season.

  5. Click Create. The model is added as a draft to the list of storm models in the dashboard. As a next step, you can add one or more ERTs to it.

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Edit a Storm Model

  1. Log in to Oracle Utilities Analytics Insights.

  2. Click Explore > Storm > ERT. The Storm ERT dashboard displays.

  3. Search for and select the storm model you want to edit.

  4. Select the gear icon next to the storm model name.

  5. In the Create/Edit Storm Model dialog that displays, edit the storm model information. See Create a Storm Model if you need detailed guidance about the meaning of each field.

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