Oracle Demantra Analytical Engine Guide

Contents

Title and Copyright Information

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Preface

Introduction to the Analytical Engine

Overview

Engine Modes: DP and PE

What the Engine Does

Forecast Modes

Engine Profiles

Specifying the Demand Stream in an Engine Profile

Maintaining Engine Versions

Illegal Characters in Demantra

Basic Concepts

Overview of Forecasting

Causal Factors

Promotions (PE Mode Only)

Forecasting Models and the Engine Flow

The Forecast Tree

Influence and Switching Effects (PE Mode Only)

Combination-Specific Settings

The Forecast Data

Configuring the Analytical Engine

General Data Requirements

Structure and Requirements of the Forecast Tree

Split Forecast by Series

Configuring SALES_DATA node-splitting

Guidelines for the Forecast Tree

Guidelines for Causal Factors

Configuring the Forecast Tree

Configuring the Forecast Tree

Pooled Time Series

Defining Influence and Competition (PE Mode Only)

Defining the Forecast Tree for Service Parts Planning Supersessions

Specifying Additional Parameters

Configuring Causal Factors

Notes About Causal Factors

Creating a Global Factor

Creating a Local Causal Factor

Configuring Global and Local Causal Factors

About Activity Shape Modeling

Enabling Activity Shape Modeling

Deleting a Causal Factor

Configuring Promotions and Promotional Causal Factors

Base Behavior

Customizing the Promotion Levels

Loading Historical Promotions

How the Analytical Engine Uses Promotions

Configuring Promotional Causal Factors

Adjusting the Promotion Dates

About Promotion Shape Modeling

Enabling Promotion Shape Modeling

Tuning the Analytical Engine

Editing Engine Parameters

Creating or Renaming Engine Profiles

Tuning Analytics

Tuning Performance

Reconfiguring the sales_data_engine Table

Enabling Engine Models Globally

Configuring the Engine Mode

Advanced Analytics (Nodal Tuning)

Forecast Tree Check

Using the Engine Administrator and Running the Engine

Before Running the Analytical Engine

General Notes about Running the Analytical Engine

Deploying the Analytical Engine

Configuring Engine Settings

Deploying Demantra CDP RAC Services

Running the Analytical Engine from the Start Menu

Running the Analytical Engine from the Command Line

Running the Analytical Engine from a Workflow

Stopping an Analytical Engine Run

Running the Simulation Engine

Running Engine Starter

Troubleshooting

Oracle Wallet Troubleshooting

Viewing the Engine Log

Examining Engine Results

Running the Engine in Recovery Mode

Stopping the Engine

Engine Details

Preparing the Database

Promotion Effectiveness Engine Phases

The Forecasting Process

Comparing Forecast Modes

Engine Components and High-Level Flow

Details of the Distributed Engine

Engine Parameters

About Engine Parameters

Analytical Engine Parameters

Theoretical Engine Models

Introduction

Flags on Causal Factors

ARIX

ARLOGISTIC

ARX

BWINT

CMREGR

DMULT

ELOG

FCROST

HOLT

ICMREGR

IREGR

LOG

LOGISTIC

Moving Average

MRIDGE

NAIVE

REGR

Index