Using Distribution Fitting with Overlay Charts

You can fit distributions to forecasts in overlay charts two ways:

  To fit a probability distribution to all forecasts in an overlay chart using the Preferences menu:

  1. Follow the steps for forecast charts given in Fitting a Distribution to a Forecast. Wherever the instructions say Forecast, as in Preferences, and then Forecast, substitute Overlay.

  2. Click OK.

    Crystal Ball fits the distributions, and then displays a probability distribution for each forecast as shown in Figure 33, Overlay Chart with Forecasts and Lines of Best Fit. As the legend shows, the forecast in the middle fits best to a gamma distribution, while the other two are beta fits. The Chart Type tab of the Chart Preferences dialog was used to change the colors of the lines of best fit for greater contrast in the figure.

    Figure 33. Overlay Chart with Forecasts and Lines of Best Fit

    This figure displays an overlay chart, showing forecasts and lines of best fit.

    Note:

    This overlay chart is shown in 3D, rotated view with legend to the right.