Generating Forecasts for AP
The same forecasting interface described in the previous section for MFP is also used to generate the Assortment Planning forecasts. When configuring forecasts for the AP base implementation, the following list of forecast runs may be required, and you will want to configure and test each run type. Additional runs can be added to satisfy your AP implementation requirements.
Note:
Although AP has an in-season plan, it still leverages Auto ES as the base forecasting method.Bayesian (which includes plan data in the forecast) is set up as the estimation method for the run. This is also why Store Sales is set as the data source for all runs, because all runs have the ability to include plan data based on the estimation methods used (in addition to store sales).
AP Plan | AP Levels | Method | Data Source | Measure |
---|---|---|---|---|
Item Plan Pre-Season |
Item-Location-Week |
Auto ES |
Store Sales |
Regular and Promotion Gross Sales Units |
Item Plan In-Season |
Item-Location-Week |
Auto ES (with Bayesian estimation method) |
Store Sales |
Regular and Promotion Gross Sales Units |
Subclass Plan Pre-Season |
Subclass-Location-Week |
Auto ES |
Store Sales |
Regular and Promotion Gross Sales Units |